Our Nevada Poll of Women of Color Shows Iowa and New Hampshire Don’t Represent Dem Base
Diana Hwang
We’ve all been fooled into thinking Iowa and New Hampshire are the most important primary states. With a 91% and 96% white Democratic electorate respectively, they’re not; they can’t be.
Nevada is where the 2020 Democratic primary really starts. Twenty-six percent of Democratic voters in Nevada are women of color and Nevada is where the electorate actually reflects the Party and the country. That’s why She the People did the first-ever presidential poll of women of color in Nevada, less than one month out from the Caucus. The multimodal poll surveyed Democratic women of color likely to attend the Caucus and asked about their first and second choice candidates, issues that were important to them, and demographic information.
For Biden, Sanders, Warren, and Steyer, this race is still a complete tossup, our poll shows. The candidate who best inspires women of color will win Nevada. Buttigieg, however, has virtually no support from women of color - results that ares disqualifying.
Toplines from the poll:
22% of NV women of color surveyed are undecided, significantly higher than the statewide undecided (14%);
Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Senator Amy Klobuchar barely register with women of color in Nevada, polling at 2% and 1% respectively;
The top four candidates — Former Vice President Joe Biden, Senator Bernie Sanders, Tom Steyer, and Senator Elizabeth Warren — are all polling in double digits and could win this essential constituency if they successfully inspire the large number of undecided women of color voters.
Among the interesting findings: a significantly higher percentage of likely women of color Democratic Nevada voters are still undecided.
We’re headed to Nevada for the Caucus next month to feature the turnout work of women of color on the ground and hope you’ll join us. Sign up for updates.
